Research in Spine Journal (one of the most prestigious and respected peer reviewed journals) has shown that the overall incidence of surgery is not significantly different with or without rigid bracing.
Comparison of surgery between brace and non braced
Incidence of surgery without the use of a rigid brace: (28.1%)
Incidence of surgery with the use of a rigid brace: (22.4%)
References:
Goldberg et al. Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis. The effect of brace treatment on the incidence of surgery. Spine 2001;26:42-47.
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